Thursday, July 4, 2024

Michelle Obama Emerges as Strong Contender in Hypothetical Matchup Against Trump, Poll Shows


 A recent survey suggests that nominating former First Lady Michelle Obama as the official Democratic presidential candidate could offer the party its best chance to defeat Donald Trump.

Amid concerns over President Biden's health challenges and lackluster debate performances, party members see Michelle Obama as a potential solution if they can persuade her to accept an official nomination.

According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Tuesday, Michelle Obama, aged 60, leads Trump, aged 78, by 11 percentage points among registered voters, with 50% supporting her compared to 39% for Trump.

In other hypothetical matchups, Biden and Trump are tied at 40% each, while Trump narrowly edges out Vice President Kamala Harris by one percentage point (43% to 42%).

The poll also shows Trump ahead of several Democratic governors who could potentially replace Biden, including Gavin Newsom of California, Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, Andy Beshear of Kentucky, and J.B. Pritzker of Illinois.

While Barack Obama has publicly supported Biden following his debate performance against Trump, Michelle Obama has maintained a distance from the re-election cycle.

Michelle, who remains highly regarded by voters according to the Reuters/Ipsos survey, had close ties to Hunter Biden's ex-wife Kathleen Buhle during the Obama administration and reportedly disapproves of how her friend was treated by the Biden family.

She notably declined to endorse Biden, aged 81, when asked about his re-election campaign in a 2022 interview.

Barack Obama has been actively involved in fundraising for Biden during the 2024 election cycle, including a recent event with late-night host Jimmy Kimmel in Los Angeles.

Unless Biden voluntarily steps down, he is expected to be the Democratic nominee in 2024. Despite reassurances to his campaign staff, Biden, aged 81, has expressed concerns to allies about his future if his poll numbers continue to decline.

According to the Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted on July 1-2, a majority of Americans (56%) believe Biden should withdraw from the race, while 46% think Trump should suspend his campaign.

The survey interviewed 1,070 US adults, including 892 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points for all respondents and 3.5 percentage points for registered voters.

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